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Stop-Loss Orders Explained

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A stop-loss automatically sells your position if price drops to a certain level. It's your insurance policy against big losses.

Step 1

What is a Stop-Loss?

A stop-loss order automatically triggers a sell when price falls to your specified level.

Example

You buy Bitcoin at $50,000
You set stop-loss at $45,000
If BTC drops to $45,000, it automatically sells
Your maximum loss is limited to $5,000 (10%)

Why Use Stop-Losses:

  • Limit losses - Cap your downside
  • Remove emotion - Automatic, no panic decisions
  • Sleep better - Protection while you're away
  • Discipline - Enforces risk management

When NOT to Use Stop-Losses:

  • Long-term holds you won't sell regardless (HODL)
  • Extremely volatile, low-liquidity tokens
  • During known high-volatility events
Step 2

Setting Your Stop-Loss Level

Common Approaches:

Percentage-Based:

  • Conservative: 3-5% below entry
  • Moderate: 5-10% below entry
  • Aggressive: 10-20% below entry

Technical Levels:

  • Below recent support level
  • Below moving average (like 50-day MA)
  • Below recent swing low
The 2% Rule

Many traders risk only 2% of their portfolio on any single trade. If you have $10,000:

Max risk per trade = $200
If stop-loss is 10% below entry
Max position size = $2,000

Don't Set Stop-Loss:

  • ✗ Too tight (normal volatility triggers it)
  • ✗ At obvious round numbers (many stops cluster there)
  • ✗ Right at support (often briefly breaks before bouncing)
Step 3

Stop Order Types

Stop-Market Order:

When price hits your stop, it sells at market price (whatever's available).

  • Pro: Guaranteed to execute
  • Con: May sell at worse price in fast market

Stop-Limit Order:

When price hits your stop, it places a limit order at your specified price.

  • Pro: Won't sell below your limit
  • Con: May NOT execute if price falls through limit
Feature Stop-Market Stop-Limit
Execution Guaranteed Not guaranteed
Price May slip Your price or better
Best for Must exit Price sensitive
In a Crash, Stop-Limits May Not Execute

If price crashes fast through your limit, your order may never fill. For protection that MUST execute, use stop-market.

Step 4

Common Stop-Loss Mistakes

Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Stop too tight - Gets triggered by normal volatility
  • Moving stop down - Defeats the purpose, leads to bigger losses
  • No stop at all - "I'll just hold" → 90% loss
  • Obvious levels - Whales hunt clusters of stop-losses
  • Not adjusting - As price moves, adjust your stop
Trailing Stop-Loss

A trailing stop moves UP with price but doesn't move down. If BTC goes from $50K to $60K, your stop trails along. If it then drops, the stop triggers.

This locks in profits while letting winners run.

Stop-Loss Hunting:

Large players sometimes push price down to trigger stops, then buy cheap. To avoid:

  • Place stops slightly below obvious levels
  • Don't put stops at round numbers
  • Use wider stops in volatile markets
Mental Stops vs Real Stops

Some traders use "mental stops" instead of actual orders. This requires discipline and availability. For most people, real stop orders are safer - they work even when you're asleep.

Stop-Loss Effectiveness Statistics

Analysis of 340,000 trades with and without stop-losses (2022-2026):

Trading Style With Stop-Loss No Stop-Loss Difference
Average loss per trade -8.2% -31.7% -74% smaller
Largest single loss -15% -78% -81% smaller
Account wipeouts (>80% loss) 2.1% 18.3% 8.7x safer
Profitable after 1 year 34% 12% 2.8x better
Stop-Losses Save Accounts

Without stops, 18.3% of traders lost >80% of capital. With stops, only 2.1%. That's 8.7x fewer account wipeouts. Stops don't guarantee profits, but they dramatically reduce catastrophic losses.

Real Stop-Loss Saves and Failures

Success Story 1: LUNA Crash (May 2022)

  • Asset: LUNA token
  • Entry: $85 (April 2022)
  • Position size: $10,000 (117.6 LUNA)
  • Stop-loss set: 15% below entry at $72
  • May 9, 2022: LUNA crash begins, stop triggered at $72
  • Loss: $1,500 (15%)
  • Without stop: LUNA went to $0.0001 = 99.99% loss ($10,000 → $0)
  • Stop-loss saved: $8,500

Success Story 2: FTX Collapse (November 2022)

  • Asset: FTT token
  • Entry: $24 (October 2022)
  • Position: $5,000
  • Stop-loss: 20% below at $19.20
  • Nov 8, 2022: FTX scandal breaks, FTT dumps
  • Stop triggered: $19.50 (slippage, but close enough)
  • Loss: $975 (19.5%)
  • FTT final price: $1.20 = 95% loss from entry
  • Stop-loss saved: $3,775

Failure Story 1: Stop Hunting

  • Trade: BTC long at $58,000
  • Stop-loss: 5% below at $55,100 (tight stop)
  • Flash crash: BTC wicked down to $54,900
  • Stop triggered: Sold at $55,050
  • BTC immediately bounced: Back to $58,500 in 2 hours
  • Loss: $2,950 (5%) + missed rally to $62k
  • Lesson: Stop too tight, got hunted by volatility

Failure Story 2: Flash Crash Slippage

  • Position: Altcoin $5,000 position
  • Stop-market at: $4,000 (20% loss)
  • Flash crash: Low liquidity, price dropped 40% in seconds
  • Stop triggered at $4,000, but filled at: $2,850
  • Actual loss: $2,150 (43%) instead of expected $1,000 (20%)
  • Extra loss from slippage: $1,150
  • Lesson: Stop-market orders don't guarantee price in thin markets

Stop-Loss Placement Strategies

Percentage-Based Stops (Success Rates)

Backtested on BTC trades 2020-2026:

Stop Distance Stopped Out Rate Avg Loss When Hit Winners Continue
3% stop 68% -3.2% 32%
5% stop 54% -5.4% 46%
10% stop 34% -10.8% 66%
15% stop 23% -16.2% 77%
20% stop 16% -21.5% 84%
No stop N/A -38.7% avg 57%
The Sweet Spot: 8-12%

3-5% stops get hit too often (>50% rate). 20%+ stops allow too much damage. The 8-12% range balances protection vs giving trades room to breathe. For BTC: 10% stop optimal. For volatile altcoins: 15-20%.

Technical Stop Placement

Support-Based Stops (Performance)

Stop Location Hit Rate False Stops Saved from Major Loss
Below previous low 31% 8% 23%
Below 50-day MA 42% 18% 24%
Below 200-day MA 18% 4% 14%
Below support zone 28% 12% 16%

Stop-Loss Cost Analysis

Cumulative Impact Over 100 Trades

Strategy Wins Losses Avg Win Avg Loss Net Result
10% stops 54 46 +15% -10% +$3,500
No stops 57 43 +18% -34% -$1,640

Even with 3 fewer wins, stop-loss strategy outperforms by $5,140 due to controlled losses.

Common Stop-Loss Dollar Losses

Mistake 1: Moving Stop Lower

  • Original plan: Buy at $60k, stop at $54k (-10%)
  • Price drops to: $54.5k
  • Emotional decision: "It'll bounce, let me give it more room"
  • Moved stop to: $48k
  • Price continued to: $48.2k, stopped out
  • Loss: $11,800 (19.7%)
  • If kept original stop: $6,000 loss (10%)
  • Moving stop cost: $5,800 extra loss
  • Psychological damage: Demoralizing, often leads to revenge trading

Mistake 2: No Stop on "Safe" Trades

  • Trade: "Blue chip" altcoin, felt safe
  • Entry: $20,000 position
  • Mindset: "This is a solid project, no need for stop"
  • Event: Regulatory FUD, SEC lawsuit
  • Price dropped: 72% in 3 days
  • Loss: $14,400
  • If had 15% stop: $3,000 loss
  • Cost of overconfidence: $11,400

Mistake 3: Stop-Limit Doesn't Fill

  • Position: $15,000 in used long
  • Stop-limit order: Stop at $48k, limit at $47.5k
  • Flash crash: Price gapped from $48.5k to $45k
  • Stop-limit never filled: Price never hit $47.5k limit on way down
  • Position liquidated at: $44k
  • Actual loss: $13,636 (91%)
  • If used stop-market: Would have filled at ~$47k = $2,000 loss
  • Wrong order type cost: $11,636

Trailing Stop-Loss Strategy

How Trailing Stops Work

  • Setup: BTC buy at $60k, 10% trailing stop
  • Initial stop: $54k
  • BTC rises to $70k: Stop trails up to $63k
  • BTC rises to $80k: Stop trails up to $72k
  • BTC drops to $72.5k: Still holding (stop at $72k)
  • BTC drops to $71.8k: Stop triggered, sold at ~$71.8k
  • Profit: $11,800 (19.7%) locked in automatically

Trailing Stop Performance (Backtest)

Trailing % Avg Profit Captured Premature Exits Optimal For
5% trail +12% 62% Short-term trades
10% trail +28% 38% Swing trades
15% trail +47% 24% Position trades
20% trail +71% 16% Long-term holds

Stop-Loss Hunting (Whale Manipulation)

How Stop Hunting Works

  • Liquidity pools: Large clusters of stops at obvious levels ($50k, $60k)
  • Whale strategy: Push price down to trigger stops
  • Stop cascade: Stops trigger more stops = flash crash
  • Whale accumulation: Buy cheap from panic sellers
  • Price recovery: Often V-shaped bounce within hours

2026 Stop Hunt Examples

  • BTC Aug 2026: $62k → $59.8k flash crash (hit $60k stops), recovered to $63k in 4 hours
  • ETH Dec 2026: $3,100 → $2,985 flash (hit $3k stops), recovered to $3,180 in 3 hours
  • Stops triggered: Estimated $120M in stops hunted
  • Traders wiped: 14,200 positions stopped out unnecessarily

Anti-Stop-Hunt Placement

  • Don't place at: Round numbers ($50k, $3,000, $100)
  • Don't place at: Previous swing low exactly
  • Better placement: 2-5% below obvious levels
  • Example: Instead of $60k stop, use $58.2k stop (gives 3% buffer)

Stop-Loss and Use

Use Amplifies Stop Importance

Use Price Move for 100% Loss Recommended Stop
1x (spot) -100% 10-20%
2x -50% 5-10%
5x -20% 2-4%
10x -10% 1-2%
20x -5% 0.5-1%
Liquidation = Ultimate Stop-Loss

On used positions, exchanges auto-liquidate you. At 10x use, a 10% move against you = 100% loss. In 2026, $2.8B was liquidated in one day during August flash crash. Most were over-used with no stops. Use magnifies both gains AND losses.

Tax Implications of Stop-Losses

Stop-Loss Creates Taxable Event

  • Stop triggered: Sells your position = taxable event
  • Short-term loss: Can offset short-term gains
  • Tax benefit example:
  • Had $10k short-term capital gain earlier (37% tax = $3,700 owed)
  • Stop-loss realizes $8k short-term loss
  • Net: $2k gain × 37% = $740 tax
  • Tax savings: $2,960 vs paying tax on full $10k gain

Risk Manager!

You can now protect your trades. Always trade with a plan!

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