Understanding Stablecoins

What Are Stablecoins?

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies pegged 1:1 to USD. Critical for DeFi trading, earning yield, and avoiding volatility. Total market: $120B+ (January 2026), down from $180B peak before Terra's $40B collapse in May 2022.

Top Stablecoins Compared (January 2026)

Stablecoin Market Cap Type Backing Risk Level Best For
USDT (Tether) $90B Fiat-backed Cash + T-bills Medium Trading, most pairs
USDC (Circle) $25B Fiat-backed Cash + T-bills Low-Medium US users, DeFi
DAI (MakerDAO) $5B Crypto-backed ETH, wBTC collateral Medium Decentralization
USDC (PYUSD) $800M Fiat-backed Paxos reserves Low-Medium PayPal users
FDUSD $2.8B Fiat-backed First Digital Medium-High Asian markets

Stablecoin Market Share

  • USDT: ~75% dominance - most liquid, most trading pairs
  • USDC: ~21% - growing, preferred by US institutions
  • DAI: ~4% - decentralized alternative
  • Others: ~3% - regional or specialized

Types of Stablecoins

Fiat-Backed (USDC, USDT)

  • Backed by real dollars in bank accounts
  • Centralized - company controls it
  • Most stable and widely used

Crypto-Backed (DAI)

  • Backed by locked cryptocurrency
  • Decentralized - no company controls it
  • Over-collateralized for safety

Algorithmic Stablecoins (EXTREMELY HIGH RISK)

The $40 Billion Lesson: Terra UST Collapse

What Happened (May 2022):
- UST was algorithmic stablecoin (no real backing)
- Maintained $1 peg through LUNA burn/mint mechanism
- Anchor protocol offered 19.5% APY on UST deposits
- Seemed sustainable for months

The Death Spiral:
- May 7: UST starts losing peg ($0.98)
- May 9: Panic selling, drops to $0.60
- May 10: LUNA hyperinflation begins
- May 12: UST at $0.10, LUNA at $0.0001
- Total loss: $40 billion

Victims:
- Retail investors holding UST: $25B+ lost
- Anchor depositors: Lost "guaranteed" 19.5% yield + principal
- LUNA holders: 99.99% loss in 72 hours
- Three Arrows Capital: Bankrupted

Lesson: Algorithmic stablecoins can and do fail catastrophically. The "stability mechanism" breaks during panic.

Other Failed Algorithmic Stablecoins

  • Iron Finance IRON (June 2021): $2B crash, TITAN from $64 to $0 in hours
  • Neutrino USD/WAVES (2022): De-pegged to $0.50, never recovered
  • Empty Set Dollar (2020-2021): Death spiral to $0.20
  • Basis Cash (2021): Lost peg, now trading at $0.08
Avoid Algorithmic Stablecoins

Pattern is clear: Every major algorithmic stablecoin has either:
1. Already failed (UST, IRON, etc.)
2. Will fail eventually

The mechanism SEEMS to work until it doesn't. Then you lose everything in hours.

Stick to fiat-backed (USDC, USDT) or crypto-backed (DAI) stablecoins.

Stablecoin Risk Comparison

Risk Factor USDT USDC DAI
Regulatory Medium-High Low-Medium Low
Transparency Medium High High
Centralization High High Low
De-peg History Brief ($0.95 in 2022) Brief ($0.88 March 2023) Moderate ($0.89 March 2023)
Redemption $100k+ minimum Easier ($2k+ minimum) Always (decentralized)

De-Pegging Events: What Actually Happened

USDC De-peg (March 2023)

Silicon Valley Bank Collapse

March 10, 2023:
- Circle revealed $3.3B in SVB (8% of USDC reserves)
- Fear Circle couldn't redeem full amount
- USDC dropped to $0.88 temporarily
- DAI also de-pegged (holds USDC as backing)
- Massive panic selling

Resolution:
- Government guaranteed SVB deposits
- Circle got all funds back
- USDC returned to $1.00 within 48 hours

Lesson: Even "safe" stablecoins can de-peg temporarily

USDT Controversies (Ongoing)

  • 2017-2019: Questions about reserves, transparency
  • 2021: Settled with NY AG, admitted not fully backed
  • 2022: Brief de-peg to $0.95 during Terra collapse
  • 2024: Improved attestations, still less transparent than USDC
  • Reality: Still most used despite concerns

Which Stablecoin Should You Use?

Decision Matrix

Your Priority Best Choice Why
Maximum liquidity USDT Most trading pairs, deepest markets
US compliance USDC Regulated, transparent, Circle/Coinbase
Decentralization DAI No company can freeze it
DeFi yield USDC or DAI Better rates on Aave, Curve
Safety first Split 50/50 Diversify between USDC and USDT

Recommended Allocation

Don't Put All Eggs in One Basket

Conservative portfolio:
- 40% USDC (regulatory compliant, transparent)
- 40% USDT (liquidity, trading pairs)
- 20% DAI (decentralization hedge)

Why diversify?
- If USDC has SVB-style issue, you have USDT/DAI
- If USDT gets regulated away, you have USDC/DAI
- If crypto crashes, DAI might hold peg better

Cost: Slightly less convenient, but much safer

Stablecoin Use Cases

Trading

  • Take profits: Sell BTC to USDT without off-ramping to bank
  • Sit in cash: Wait for opportunities without volatility
  • Most pairs: BTC/USDT has higher volume than BTC/USD

DeFi Yield

  • Aave: 3-8% APY on USDC deposits (January 2026)
  • Curve: 8-15% APY on 3pool (USDC/USDT/DAI)
  • Better than banks: Traditional savings = 0.5-1%
  • Risk: Smart contract exploits, no FDIC insurance

Payments & Remittance

  • Send $10k internationally for $1-5 in fees
  • Arrives in minutes, not days
  • No forex conversion fees
  • Growing adoption in emerging markets

Avoiding Capital Gains Tax

  • Sell appreciated crypto to USDC (taxable)
  • Move USDC between wallets/exchanges (not taxable)
  • Earn yield on USDC (taxable as income)
  • Better than repeated BTC → USD → BTC conversions

Stablecoin Risks You Must Know

Regulatory Risk

  • US government considering stablecoin regulations
  • Could require banking licenses
  • Some stablecoins might get banned
  • International users could lose access

Bank Run Risk

  • If everyone tries to redeem at once, can break
  • Seen during UST collapse (algorithmic)
  • Also happened briefly with USDC (SVB)
  • Fiat-backed should survive, but panic causes de-pegs

Frozen Funds Risk

  • USDC and USDT can freeze addresses
  • Done for regulatory/legal compliance
  • Your funds can be blacklisted
  • DAI cannot be frozen (decentralized)
Lending & Borrowing DeFi Overview